My college football guru, Beano Cook, enlightened me years ago that forecasting a national champion boiled down to one factor.
Think of your real estate agent's mantra -- "location, location, location." In the prediction game, it's "schedule, schedule, schedule."
Georgia has been honored (burdened?) with the preseason No. 1 rating. Half of its 12 opponents are ranked, three in the top 10. The Dawgs commute to five of those six games. Tack on an SEC title match, and no team ever will have survived a comparably gory gauntlet en route to the pot of gold on the back end.
Let's examine the skeds of Nos. 2 through 5.
Southern Cal gets all three of its ranked foes (Ohio State, Oregon, Arizona State) at home. Same with Oklahoma (Texas, Kansas, Texas Tech).
The Buckeyes travel to confront its three (USC, Wisconsin, Illinois) but dabble in the softer Big Ten. Florida's once daunting non-SEC quiniela of Miami and Florida State no longer strikes fear, and its sole ranked obstacle on the road is No. 18 Tennessee.
Georgia does benefit from the expanded 12 games per team that often allows for one misstep by a school with a lofty strength of schedule. So, if no two members of the power conferences sweep through their seasons unscathed, the Dawgs likely would land in the BCS title tilt with one defeat.
Take another look at the schedule from Hades (including a 13th game in the SEC championship). I see two losses. I don't envision Georgia in the exclusive location, location, location of national champion.
Do you?
Showing posts with label sec. Show all posts
Showing posts with label sec. Show all posts
Tuesday, August 26, 2008
SEC teams catch breaks in openers
Not that they need any, but several SEC teams are catching breaks in their openers.
Georgia lies in wait for a Georgia Southern team depleted by the suspension of eight players. Tennessee game-plans for a UCLA quarterback projected as a third-stringer before his superiors were shelved by injuries. South Carolina welcomes a North Carolina State team that could not decide on a starting QB -- a redshirt freshman, no less -- until a week before kickoff. Kentucky confronts Louisville, minus one wide receiver who was shot in the back last month and another who was booted after his second drug arrest -- not to mention a cornerback axed after a suspected gas station robbery.
And Florida arranged its kickoff against Hawaii at 12:30 p.m., assuring the Rainbows will be half-asleep. Their body clocks will be set at 6:30 a.m.
Of course, some SEC rosters will shrink in opening week because of the usual rash of suspensions resulting from off-season transgressions. Tennessee just sent two players to detention for the UCLA game.
Anybody know who is this year's leader for dog-housed players in Week One?
Georgia lies in wait for a Georgia Southern team depleted by the suspension of eight players. Tennessee game-plans for a UCLA quarterback projected as a third-stringer before his superiors were shelved by injuries. South Carolina welcomes a North Carolina State team that could not decide on a starting QB -- a redshirt freshman, no less -- until a week before kickoff. Kentucky confronts Louisville, minus one wide receiver who was shot in the back last month and another who was booted after his second drug arrest -- not to mention a cornerback axed after a suspected gas station robbery.
And Florida arranged its kickoff against Hawaii at 12:30 p.m., assuring the Rainbows will be half-asleep. Their body clocks will be set at 6:30 a.m.
Of course, some SEC rosters will shrink in opening week because of the usual rash of suspensions resulting from off-season transgressions. Tennessee just sent two players to detention for the UCLA game.
Anybody know who is this year's leader for dog-housed players in Week One?
What player would win an SEC sprint race?
With the Beijing Olympics just being put to bed, Florida devotees may get lots of looks this season at the 2012 London follow-up to Jamaican flash Usain Bolt. At the U.S. Trials, Gators freshman running back Jeff Demps lowered the national high school in the 100-meter dash to 10.1 seconds. He can claim the crown of fastest college player before having set foot on a game field.
Got anyone to nominate for the finals of an SEC sprint race -- in helmets and shoulder pads?
Got anyone to nominate for the finals of an SEC sprint race -- in helmets and shoulder pads?
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